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    • CommentAuthorllixgrijb
    • CommentTimeApr 9th 2008
     
    The attached file is a HighC model of Boeing(BA) stock from 1962-present.
    The stock has been represented as a square wave (purple). Also sounds have been provided for the Cold War and the Iraq war to serve as historical roadmarks.

    The interesting thing is, that one can "feel" the musical tension long before the Iraq war causes the stock to "Explode". The vibration tone indicates the start of the war. While white noise at the beginning indicates the cold war slump.

    If anyone has insights, comments, or ideas on analyzing the stock market this way, please respond.

    Enjoy.

    Cheers

    - Llixgrijb
    • CommentAuthorllixgrijb
    • CommentTimeApr 9th 2008
     
    -sorry, some problems came up.
    I uploaded a .zip file, however the following error came up.


    Some problems were encountered
    You are not allowed to upload (BoeingStock.zip) the requested file type: application/octet-stream/force-download
    • CommentAuthorllixgrijb
    • CommentTimeApr 10th 2008
     
    • CommentAuthorllixgrijb
    • CommentTimeApr 10th 2008
     
    I am sure most people have heard of the Cisco stock. For those of you who haven't or want a recap of what happened, read on.
    The Cisco stock explosion in 2002 made four groups of people.
    1. The first group of people became fabulously wealthy because of Cisco, they made millions of dollars from Cisco stock. They got on the boat and got off at the right time, truly a spectacular feat, as can be seen from their enormous bankroll. They are all perfectly happy now... moving on...
    2. The second group of people are the ones who missed the boat entirely, they continually regret the fact that they failed to make millions when it could have been so easy. Throughout life, they always think about this company, and how now they have to work hard, when they could have made millions just by taking a small risk.
    3. The third group of people are those who got on the boat but didn't get off. These people did not sell the stock at the right moment, and hung on to it for whatever reason. They either eventually sold the stock at a low price, or still have it. They feel even worse than group 2 because they got even closer than group 2 to making those "fabulous" millions.
    4. Group 4 doesn't care. Either they already have it made, or are uninterested, the Cisco stock is irrelevant to them. They function independently of this particular incident.

    Considering that the Cisco stock is such an interesting subject for research, I decided to map it out on HighC. This time, I decided to experiment with different waveforms and levels to indicate the overall "feel" of what the market is doing. The sound seems to model the price well.

    Here are some discoveries.
    1. Musically, one can get a "anticipation" feel before the stock actually increases substantially.
    2. At the Apex of the stock climb, i.e. 82 dollars, there is a massive "vibration" signal. This signal only occurs during the explosion.
    3.After some tests, It appears that the signal is independent of pitch. That is, this signal will not occur if there is a constant pitch. Instead it seems to occur only if there is a increase/decrease in value. This may be related to "rate of change", a concept in stock analysis.
    4.Further observation seems to reveal that this signal tends to occur at a cusp. This is (mathematically) correlated with the third derivative (jerk). It is possible that this signal may be used to analyze the relative instability of a stock at a given point in time.
    5.After this signal, the stock falls, so it may be possible to predict a significant decline and short stocks at this point. (Note, could it be possible for stocks to increase as well?)
    6. (just a hunch) but in the beginning, the stock sounds like a motorcycle revving just before pressing the accelerator.

    If anyone finds additional points or has comments please let me know.
    I would appreciate anybody else trying out my claims, or finding their own.
    Feel free to "peer review" this work, so we all can learn more about this interesting field. (Stock-Musicology)
    Please post.

    -Llixgrijb

    File is attached
    • CommentAuthoradmin
    • CommentTimeApr 11th 2008
     
    This is definitely interesting.
    It could be interesting to use multiple stock lines (say, by industry, or stock market), and align them. Then periods where the stocks evolve in parallel should be easy to differentiate from the "accidents", in which the stocks diverge.

    It could also be interesting to map the volume of exchange to the envelope, to provide additional cues.

    How did you transfer this data to HighC? I think it should be easy for me to create an automatic translator from any kind of text format into the internal format used by HighC...

    Great idea, in any case...
    • CommentAuthorllixgrijb
    • CommentTimeApr 12th 2008
     
    Thanks for your ideas. I'll try them out.
    Do you have any suggestions for stocks I should analyze? (Not just draw them out, but apply indicators)
    Please list stocks that you find interesting.
    • CommentAuthorllixgrijb
    • CommentTimeApr 12th 2008
     
    Data was transferred to HighC manually. I drew it out by comparing the graph to the one on yahoo finance. I then used the edit function to fix any mistakes.

    p.s. Is is possible to change the volume (level) AFTER the sound has been drawn?
    • CommentAuthorllixgrijb
    • CommentTimeApr 13th 2008
     
    Here is the APPL stock. I have used the envelope Idea.

    Analysis.
    1. The Vibration signal seems to be correlated with a double spike. The double spike seems to be correlated with downfall in several stocks. This is because it is representing instability.
    • CommentAuthorllixgrijb
    • CommentTimeApr 13th 2008
     
    APPL
    • CommentAuthorllixgrijb
    • CommentTimeApr 15th 2008
     
    Just a question to anyone more knowledgeable about sound synthesis in general.
    Is there a technical term for the vibration signal that I observe in the stock?
    I must be sounding like an amateur saying vibration signal, if there is a technical term for it.
    If there is please let me know, so I can expand my knowledge.
    Thanks
    • CommentAuthoradmin
    • CommentTimeApr 16th 2008 edited
     
    Are you talking about aliasing?

    To many, aliasing is a defect that should be removed. To me and a few others, it is more a natural phenomenon that one can play with. If you don't like aliasing effects, use the "pure additive" waveforms (in the additive section of the new base library (version 2.1): they won't produce any.